Tuesday, July 1, 2014

FTSE makes strong start to second half of 2014 as miners rise



By Francesco Canepa


LONDON (Reuters) – Britain’s top share index started the second half of the year on a positive note, boosted by mining stocks after fresh data pointed to continuing demand from China, the world’s biggest metals consumer.


Poor sales data, however, pummelled British supermarkets Morrisons and Tesco , which were among top FTSE fallers.


Mining <.FTNMX1770> stocks rose 2.2 percent, the top sectoral gainers, after public and private surveys from China showed government policy was helping to support demand in the economy.


Resilient Chinese demand helped to push copper to its highest in nearly four months earlier on Tuesday, helping global miners such as Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton gain nearly 3 percent each.


“We believe that returns to shareholders will come through as 2014 progresses,” Jeremy Batstone-Carr, market analyst at Charles Stanley, said.


“If investors are piling in to bet on this, then perhaps the FTSE 100 will have a better performance in the third quarter than it has had so far this year.”


Miners account for 10 percent of the FTSE 100 index. The sectoral FTSE 350 mining index ended the first half of the year up by a meagre 0.5 percent, capped by a continued fall in the price of metals such as iron ore and copper.


Copper accounted for 12 percent of Rio’s and 22 percent of BHP Billiton’s revenues last year, with iron ore the largest revenue source for both companies. Iron ore prices are still down 30 percent from their end-2013 level, leading some traders to express caution on mining stocks.


“Short term momentum may see further upside in copper…but we think the underlying equities have too many headwinds to rally much further from present levels,” a trader in London said.


“With iron ore still very weak and with copper such a relatively small part of the large diversified names…the miners will run out of steam.”


Precious metal miners such as Randgold and Fresnillo were also strong gainers, after gold hit a three month high as escalating violence in Iraq boosted its safe-haven appeal.


The FTSE 100 <.FTSE> was up 41.3 points, or 0.6 percent, at 6,785.26 points at 1327 GMT, tipping the index into slightly positive territory for the year on the first day of the third quarter.


The FTSE 100 is nearly 2 percent off its 2014 peak of 6,894.88 in May, which marked its highest since December 1999.


Morrisons was the top FTSE faller, down 2.4 percent, as data by Kantar Worldpanel showed sales at the supermarket fell 3.8 percent in the 12 weeks to June 22. Tesco , whose sales fell 1.9 percent, saw its shares dip 1 percent.


Sainsbury’s sales were up 3 percent while hard discounters continued to make gains, with Asda’s sales up 3.6 percent.


“Morrison’s trading does not yet seem to have responded to price cuts albeit the strategy feels better whilst Tesco’s momentum remains worrying given its store refurbishment programme,” Clive Black, an analyst at Shore Capital, said.


“We welcome Sainsbury’s share gains, so long or neutral Sainsbury and short Tesco would be one (pair trade) for us.”


(Additional reporting by Alistair Smout; Editing by Foo Yun Chee and Jon Boyle)





FTSE makes strong start to second half of 2014 as miners rise

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